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The aim of Core 3 is to analyse the causes and effects of, and possible solutions to global change with emphasis on changes in climate, land use, biodiversity and biogeochemical cycles. Global change is the ultimate result of expanding economic activities based on wide spread practices and technologies that result into global scale changes in the functioning of the biosphere. The effect per capita is a major determinant in this equation. It is still growing in industrialised countries while in emerging emerging economies the environmental use per capita is rapidly growing. At the global level major changes are now taking place in climate, land use, biodiversity and biogeochemical cycles. The early effects on environmental quality en ecosystem services are becoming increasingly visible. Existing local stresses related to intensive human use of ecosystem services are exacerbated by global changes.
The ultimate aim of the various foci of this core programme 3 is to understand global change and its driving mechanisms, explore socio-economic and technological development trajectories that have a lower impact and to develop integrated models for simulation, projection and scenario development, and assess management implications and policy strategies under different plausible futures and at various scales.
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